CONTOUR visible on Friday night, Aug. 9/10

New: August 8 at 3h UT
Local predictions for the last good pass of CONTOUR visible from
North America are given below, but you can also obtain more
accurate local predictions for it by requesting Object CONTOUR 
at the JPL Horizons ephemeris Web site.  
CONTOUR will be visible as it rises in the west between
4:34 and 5:44 UT August 10 UT, early in the evening on
the West Coast.  West Coast locations are favored with
closer distances, only around 6000 km when it is high in
the sky.  There's little possibility to see it below 
about 45 deg. altitude, I believe, because at lower
altitudes, the phase angle is poor, you are looking mostly
at the dark side of the satellite.  But as it rises higher,
it also is moving away from the Earth; the best chances for
seeing it may be when it's about 60 - 70 deg. altitude as
seen from western North America, around 4:45 - 4:55 UT.
I don't know how bright it will be; it may be flashing.
It's now spinning at 1 rev. per second, so any flashes from
the sides would be rapid, every 1/8th second, so it may 
appear more continuous.  I don't know of any successful
attempts to see CONTOUR during OCM8, with some observations
reaching almost 12th mag., but CONTOUR was more than 10,000 km
away then.

More about CONTOUR can be found here.
________________________________________________________________

Local predictions can be found below; you can also get local
predictions at the Horizons Web site, or you can request predictions
from me at dunham@erols.com (but I can only provide predictions 
sporadically during the next couple of days; it would be best if
your request is received before about 3h U.T. of Aug. 9).  The 
cities are listed approximately from west to east.  In the 
predictions, the name of the location given in the header has a "9" 
preceding it, necessary because the name is used to create file 
names, and I needed to do that to ensure unique file names, as well 
as ones that could be FTP'ed to my Web site in one operation. 

*** IMPORTANT NOTE: - These predictions are probably not ***
     as accurate as those from the JPL Horizons site
     with link provided above; if at all possible, you 
     should get your predictions from there rather than
     from below.

  Honolulu, HI
  Haleakala, HI
  Mauna Kea, HI
  Anchorage, AK
  Eureka, CA
  Vancouver, BC
  Eugene, OR
  Portland, OR
  San Francisco, CA
  Seattle, WA
  Aptos, CA (near Santa Cruz)
  Sacramento, CA
  Ellensburg, WA
  Bend, OR
  Reno, NV
  Fresno, CA
  Mt. Pinos, CA
  Los Angeles, CA
  Wrightwood, CA (Table Mtn. Obs.)
  Pullman, WA
  SanDiego, CA
  LasVegas, NV
  Calgary, AB
  Missoula, MT
  Edmonton, AB
  Idaho Falls, ID
  Phoenix, AZ
  Flagstaff, AZ
  Hermosillo, Sonora, Mexico
  Tucson, AZ
  La Paz, Baja Cal. Sur, Mexico
  Las Cruces, NM
  Saskatoon, SK
  Denver, CO
  Albuquerque, NM
  Salt Lake City, UT
  Ft. Davis, TX (MacDonald Obs.
  Guadalajara, Mexico
  Rapid City, SD
  Lubbock, TX
  Monterrey, NL, Mexico
  Mexico City, DF, Mexico
  San Antonio, TX
  Austin, TX
  Oklahoma City, OK
  Wichita, KS
  Dallas, TX
  Omaha, NE
  Topeka, KS
  Houston, TX
  Kansas City, MO
  St. Paul, MN
  Galapagos Is., Equador
  St. Louis, MO
  New Orleans, LA
  Memphis, TN
  Madison, WI
  Milwaukee, WI
  Chicago, IL
  Urbana, IL
  Nashville, TN
  Indianapolis, IN
  East Lansing, MI
  Atlanta, GA
  Dayton, OH
  Detroit, MI
  Tampa, FL
  Gainesville, FL
  Berea, OH (west of Cleveland)
  Jacksonville, FL
  Columbia, SC
  Melbourne, FL
  Miami, FL
  Pittsburgh, PA
  Toronto, ON
  Chapel Hill, NC
  Buffalo, NY
  Rochester, NY
  Richmond, VA
  Washington, DC
  Dayton, MD
  Laurel, MD
  Beltsville, MD
  Ithaca, NY
  Norfolk, VA
  Ottawa, ON
  Philadelphia, PA
  Cranford, NJ
  New York, NY
  Montreal, PQ
  Boston, MA
  Halifax, NS

The CONTOUR spacecraft itself is always in sunlight; it is
cylindrical, about 1.7 meters high and across, covered mainly with
solar cells.  But it doesn't have large panels pointed towards the
Earth like NEAR.

Earth-centered J2000 equatorial coordinates, and orbital elements,
of CONTOUR at the perigee of August 10 are given below for
calculating local predictions (R.A. and Dec., and altitude and
azimuth) for those who can use them. 

David Dunham, IOTA and CONTOUR Mission Design Team

UTC Gregorian Date: 10 Aug 2002 04:21:29.7492

State Vector in Coordinate System: Earth Centered Mean J2000

Parameter Set Type:  Cartesian
  X: -6446.5765422734357000 km   Vx: -1.8883256115900584 km/sec
  Y:   709.2545654377504400 km   Vy: -9.1715209127530244 km/sec
  Z: -1089.9951607671674000 km   Vz:  5.2002911946970780 km/sec

Parameter Set Type:  Keplerian                             
 sma: 61367.97610186576600 km  RAAN:  190.0538007947365 deg        
 ecc:     0.8928360661750041      w:  341.15117963797 deg        
 inc:    30.86522058870675 deg   TA:    4.753759504387209e-007 deg        
_________________________________________________________________________

    David Dunham, IOTA, e-mail dunham@erols.com, 2002 Aug. 8, 3h UT
          office e-mail david.dunham@jhuapl.edu
Phone home 301-474-4722; office 240-228-5609; car 301-526-5590.