Eclipse (called "Occultation") of the star TYC 0748-01711-1 by the asteroid (903) Nealley Mon. am, Nov. 19 - New 2007 Nov. 16, 19h UT

The path for this 9.8-mag. occultation crosses North America from Cape Cod to New York City, central Maryland, cen. Tenn., cen. Texas, to s. Baja

Mostly clear skies are probable at least for the Maryland region

We need your help to cover the path and its uncertainty zone; I plan to set up 3 mobile stations in Maryland

If you live near the predicted path of the occultation that passes 
over Cape Cod & Long Island at 10:07 UT = 5:07 am EST, over 
New York City, New Jersey, Philadelphia, central Maryland at 10:08 
UT; at 10:09 UT W. Va., at 10:11 UT (4:11 am CST) central Tenn. 
(Nashville at n. limit), at 10:12 UT s.e. Arkansas, at 10:13 UT 
Shreveport (Louisiana), Texas (event possible at 10:14 UT from Waco, 
Austin, & San Antonio), & n.w. Mexico (at 10:18 UT = 3:18 am MST) La 
Paz, Baja Calif. at n. limit, please help us measure the size and 
shape of the asteroid (903) Nealley when it will occult a 9.8-mag. 
star 10 deg. west of Procyon Monday morning, November 19.  We need 
your help to cover the path to obtain the best coverage for this 
event. Please let me know if you can try to observe this event so 
that mobile observers can be positioned at the best places to avoid 
duplication of your observation.  Since the occultation will occur 
at 5:08 am EST in s.e. Penn. and Maryland, and at 5:09 am in 
northern Virginia, times when most observers are just getting up to 
go to work, just go to bed and get up about an hour earlier than 
usual, so you can set up your telescope and find the target star; 
then just after the occultation, quickly take down your equipment, 
eat breakfast, and go to work with little disruption of your usual 
schedule.  Use whatever timing equipment you have (stopwatch or 
wrist watch with stopwatch mode, tape or digital audio recorder, 
etc.) to time the occultation as well as you can; visual 
observations are fine for this event, with a predicted central 
duration of 12s.  For timing tips, click here.  For those in the 
Washington, DC region, we will record WTOP at 103.5 FM along with 
WWV time signals; WTOP can then be used as your time reference using 
a car or any FM radio.  If you have two stopwatches, or one with split 
timing, start one at the WTOP tone marking 5 am, and stop it when 
the star disappears (if it does disappear at your location), at the 
same time starting the other timer to just time the duration of the 
occultation (stopping the second one at the reappearance).  If you 
have an astronomical CCD imager, you should take a long exposure 
during the minute or so centered on the expected time of the 
occultation for your location, turning off the clock drive during 
the exposure; the occultation can then be timed by measuring the 
break in the star's trail; click here for more about this.

     The star is in northeastern Monoceros; the easiest way to 
locate it is to find one of two 6th-mag. stars, set your scope on 
one of them, then turn off your clock drive for a few minutes, and 
the target star will then be in your field of view, just north of 
where the 6th-mag. star was.  The target star, TYC 0748-01711-1, is
at J2000 RA 6h 59m 54.3s, Dec +8 deg. 24' 28", about 7 deg. west of 
3rd-mag. beta Canis Minoris and approximately in line with a line 
drawn south-southeast extending from the bright 2nd-mag. star gamma 
Geminorum (Alhena) to 4th-mag. xi Gem about 1.5 times the distance 
between those two stars to the target area, which is shown in 3 
annotated star charts in this Power Point file, which also has maps 
showing the predicted path in your area.  The star charts show the 
two 6th-mag. stars, labelled A and B, listed below.  Just center on 
them; the target star will then appear the indicated distance in arc 
minutes (') north of where the 6th-mag. star was in the amount of 
time indicated (try to time it so the target star will be in your 
field of view a minute before the event, then turn your clock drive 
back on, or just manually adjust to keep on the target). 

                                     to target offset
Star            mag  R.A.(J2000)Dec   time  distance
                     h   m    d  '    m  s    '
A = SAO 114556  5.8  6 52.8  +8 23    7  4  +1.6
B = SAO 114626  6.3  6 55.6  +8 19    4 19  +5.0

More information and a few more finder charts (not annotated) of 
different scales are on Steve Preston's Web page for the event.

The detailed path maps, generated from D. Breit's interactive Google 
maps site, in the Power Point file above are also individually given 
below.

northeastern USA s. New England to DC
Maryland & vicinity more detailed view
W. Virginia & surroundings DC to cen. Tennessee
cen. Tenn. to Texas

The medium range Accuweather forecast is good for our area, with 
only scattered cirrus forecast, little or no wind, temp. about 32 
deg. F. (dress warmly), and relative humidity 73% (so expect some 
dew or frost, use dew shields (one made of paper taped to the front 
end of your scope will be o.k. if you don't have a manufactured 
shield) for refractors and Schmidt-Cass. telescopes.

The location of the predicted path, expected to be 64 km wide, is 
uncertain by almost a full path-width "1-sigma" (one standard 
deviation), so an occultation is not guaranteed anywhere; the 
chances are greatest at the predicted central line, 40%, but are 
only slightly less, 35%, at the limits, and drop to 14%, still a 
reasonable chance, at the 1-sigma limits (94 km from center), which 
encompass virtually all of the Washington, DC region, so all in the 
area are encouraged to observe.  To be sure, observers at least to 
the 2-sigma limits (156 km from center) are also encouraged to watch 
from convenient home locations. 

Remember that the interactive detailed maps for this and other 
events, and extensive lists of stations (should include yours, if 
its within 3-sigma of the path center) and also lists of stars for 
pre-pointing telescopes, are on Derek Breit's Web site; scoll down 
to the line of links for the event at its central time, 19 Nov 9:56 UT.

    Some other Asteroidal Occultations (mostly Mid-Atlantic events)

2007                               Planet or      dur. Ap.
Date   Day  EST     Star      Mag  Asteroid   dmag   s in. Location
Nov 18 Sun  1:44 SAO 39874    9.3  Wombat      6.1   1  3 NJ,PA,swNY
Nov 18 Sun  2:57 1 Arietis    5.8  2000 AD142 11.4   1  1 VA,sWV
Nov 19 Mon  5:08 TYC07481711  9.8  Nealley     5.2  12  4 NJ,sePA,MD,nVA
Nov 20 Tue  1:54 TYC02451257 10.1  Amalia      5.4   3  4 n GA, s S.Car.
Nov 23 Fri  2:18 2UC37297689 11.9  Ausonia     0.5  18  8 NJ,nMD,sPA,nWV
Nov 23 Fri 21:04 TYC00870420 10.8  Erimomisaki 3.0   2  6 NJ,PA,neOhio
Nov 24 Sat 19:10 2UC44450138 11.0  Chenqian    3.5   3  6 wNY,wPA,eOH,KY
Nov 27 Tue  5:58 2UC39628815 10.9  Lameia      3.2   4  6 VA,sWV,sOhio
Nov 29 Thu  0:50 TYC12300772 10.5  Miyazaki    3.9   2  5 NYC,nNJ,nePA
Dec  3 Mon  0:26 TYC19000667  9.0  Ruvuma      6.6   4  2 sS.Car.,sGA
Dec  5 Wed  3:58 TYC12860663 10.8  Imperatrix  4.5   3  6 NJ,PA,nOhio
Dec  5 Wed 17:50 2UC42014653 11.9  Dembowska   0.1  12  8 sNJ,DE,sMD,VA
Dec  8 Sat  5:39 TYC49350372 11.1  Aurelia     2.8   5  7 GA,s.S.Car.
Dec  9 Sun 18:48 TYC63650480 11.5  Cornelia    4.3   2  8 seSC,e.N.Car.
Dec 20 Thu  0:09 TYC24160772  9.4  Lamberta    3.3   9  2 s.VA,sWV,KY

The Nov. 18th Wombat path extends from northern New Jersey to 
southern British Columbia, while the occultation about an hour later 
of 1 Arietis (HIP 8544) by the 10-km asteroid (16184) 2000 AD142 
will be visible from a narrow path extending from Virginia to Los 
Angeles.  But the 1-sigma uncertainty zones for these two events are 
twenty or more times the path widths, much worse than for the Monday 
morning Nealley event, so the chances for seeing an occultation are 
small, not warranting travel to observe them (that is, try them only 
from convenient home or nearby observatory locations).  The chances 
for obtaining the most useful size/shape information are much better 
for the Nealley occultation, so we recommend concentrating on it; 
the weather forecast is poor for the Washington, DC region for the 
Sunday morning occultations.

I will distribute a station list for the Nealley occultation this 
evening; in the meantime, you can see it on Derek Breit's Web page 
given above.  A shortened version of the station list, which can be 
used to find the exact time and circumstances for your location, and 
the probability for an occultation, will be used for planning 
coverage for the event once I hear from observers about their plans.

David Dunham, 2007 Nov. 16, 2 pm EST
Phones home 301-474-4722; office 240-228-5609; cell 301-526-5590 
office e-mail david.dunham@jhuapl.edu with Blackberry for mobile use
home e-mail:  dunham@starpower.net .