Bright weekend asteroid occ'n, WI,TN,FL,Cuba,s.Brazil

(780) Armenia to cover 8.7-mag. star Sun. am, 2005 July 24

Expedition to Nashville, TN area from DC area planned; the Accuweather forecast is good

New: 2005 July 21

     We need your help to cover the path for the occultation of 8.7-
mag. SAO 146999 (= HIP 118132) by the 94-km asteroid (780) Armenia 
Sunday morning, July 24, from 9:34 to 9:52 UT (4:34 to 4:52 am CDT; 
5 am EDT).  Let me know if you might try to observe this good event 
so that we can plan coverage of mobile stations to fill in the gaps 
of the coverage by fixed-site observers who plan to try it.  The 
nearly north-to-south path passes over central Wisconsin (Madison, 
9:34 UT), north-central and eastern Illinois (Rockford, Urbana, 
9:35), s.w. Indiana, western Kentucky, central Tennessee (Nashville, 
9:36), eastern Alabama (Huntsville, Auburn), western Georgia, north-
central Florida (Tallahassee, 9:37), western Cuba (Havana, 9:38), 
central Colombia (w. of Bogota, 9:43), Bolivia (La Paz, 9:47), 
northeastern Argentina (9:50-9:51), and southernmost Brazil (9:51-
9:52 UT).  Charlie Ridgway has set up an interactive Web page for 
this event that allows you to zoom in on the path, or parts of it, 
to view it plotted over road maps (USA only) and satellite images 
(whole path, even Cuba to s. Brazil) to almost whatever detail that 
you want.  Unfortunately, it currently uses an older prediction from 
late June; the path from Steve Preston's current prediction 
calculated on July 13 is close to the earlier prediction but perhaps 
a little east of it.  If an occultation occurs, there will be a 5-
mag. drop (to Armenia's 13.9 mag.) lasting up to 12 seconds, a 
relatively slow event facilitating the usefulness of even careful 
visual timings.  

     Accuweather is forecasting humid conditions (use dew caps!) but 
mostly clear with mainly scattered cirrus, over the path in central 
Tenneessee.  The predicted cloud cover increases significantly both 
north and south of that area, but of course the forecast can change, 
with a better Clear Sky Clock forecast becoming available probably 
late Friday.  If the forecast for the areas mentioned remains good, 
I plan to drive to the path from the Washington, DC area, leaving 
early Saturday morning, July 23, and returning late Sunday night.  
Let me know if you might be interested in joining this expedition. 

     The target star is at J2000 RA 23h 57m 45.9s, Dec -7 deg. 22' 
30", in Cetus close to the Aquarius-Cetus-Pisces border 7 deg. west 
and a little north of 3rd-mag. iota Ceti, 1.6 deg. southwest of 5th-
mag. 30 Piscium, and 10' east of a 7.5-mag. star.  The star field is 
fairly sparse, so allow plenty of time to find SAO 146999.  Use the 
finder charts of different scales locating the target star with a 
cross in the center that are on Steve Preston's Web site.  
Fortunately, you have most of the night to find it; at the time of 
the occultation, the star will be over 40 deg. above the horizon for 
all observers. 

     A station list sorted by distance from the predicted central 
line, useful for determining the time of closest approach for your 
location (although you can get a good estimate of that from the maps 
on Steve Preston's Web site given above) and for planning coverage 
of the event, will be first distributed either Thurs. or Friday 
evening, but a first version of it was posted last night by Derek 
Breit on his Web site.  Send me your coordinates, 
or a careful description of your location, for including in the 
station list if we might not already have your position. 

David Dunham, IOTA, 2005 July 21, 5pm EDT (21h UT)
Phones home 301-474-4722; office 240-228-5609; cell 301-526-5590
E-mail dunham@starpower.net at home